Budapest Memorandum 2

Case A103F55E-8BBB-4E0B-8291-344A128BDD99
Sponsor: Robert Thibadeau

  • Status

    State
    Next Steps
    Case Date
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    Jurors Accepted
    Juror Verdicts Finalized

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  • Details

    Name
    Category
    URL
    Accusation
    Lie Truth
     
    Argument

  • Verdicts

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia clearly did exactly what they said they would never do in the memorandum.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    Why would anybody believe anything Russia puts out there? It's just intentional disinformation.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Most international legal experts and western governments conclude that Russia has violated several core articles:

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    To put it simply, Russia promised to respect Ukraine’s borders and then later violated that promise.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia did affirm in the Budapest Memorandum that it would respect Ukraine’s independence and existing borders. That is historically documented and the commitment was later violated.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    the overwhelming majority of international legal scholars, governments, and UN member states consider Russia to have violated that commitment.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia conducted a full-scale military invasion that breaches Ukraine’s territorial integrity and agreed borders, therefore violating their commitment

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    The memorandum is complete.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    When has Russian government told the truth about anything in the last 60 years? That's literally why they're throttling Telegram right now after trying to ban it: they don't want truth leaving the country.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Article 1 (Sovereignty and Borders): Russia's annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the full-scale invasion in 2022 are widely cited as direct breaches of the commitment to respect Ukraine's territorial integrity.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    The memorandum is complete.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    There are two possible interpretations It was a lie from the beginning (they never intended to keep it) or It was a promise that was later broken (they changed course later).

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    The memorandum is complete.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    The memorandum is complete.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia clearly had never intended to follow the agreement or outright intended to abrogate it and attack Ukraine.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia originated the practice of systemic disinformation. Their practices have been picked up and are used to great effect by Al Jazeera and other agencies in the ME every single day!

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Article 2 (Threat or Use of Force): The use of military force in Crimea, the Donbas, and the 2022 invasion is seen as a violation of the pledge to refrain from the threat or use of force against Ukraine.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia argues that its actions were justified for security and political reasons, but Ukraine and much of the international community reject that explanation. It was never their intention to commit to the agreement.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia clearly had never intended to follow the agreement or outright intended to abrogate it and attack Ukraine.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia argued that the memorandum was a political commitment, not a legally binding treaty.

    Answer: No
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia argued that the memorandum was a political commitment, not a legally binding treaty.

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is misleading.
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia (like China and half a dozen countries in the ME) has never been a credible source. They've historically always done the "say this now to make peace, then when the other side is weak, attack" strategy.

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is misleading.
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia (like China and half a dozen countries in the ME) has never been a credible source. They've historically always done the "say this now to make peace, then when the other side is weak, attack" strategy.

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The deceit is that the lie is manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    They were intentionally misleading the international community and Ukraine.

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    It's called disinformation. Take misinformation and give is a motive: disinformation. It's how modern conflicts are fought in social media. Ask me about how I've explained exactly this repeatedly when it came to the outright lies being propagated by Hamas and their supporters in the Middle East.

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 80 %
    Supporting Text:
    probably intended

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Whether it was “intentional” depends on perspective , but the actions were not accidental, they were deliberate state decisions.

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    A broken promise does not automatically prove the original promise was knowingly false though.

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia violated its commitment to respect Ukraine’s independence, sovereignty, and borders.

    Answer: Yes
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Their actions were deliberate state decisions. Therefore showing they mislead the community at an international level

    Answer:
    The motivation was to buy time until they could conquer and absorb the lands of Ukraine.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The motivation is Sun Tzu: convince the enemy you're doing X while you're really doing Y. Then when you're ready to do X, go ahead and do it.
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    There's no trusting entities like the Russian government or similar governments that use disinformation as a state tool against other foreign entities. But it's not going to stop them when it's as effective as it is. Look at TikTok ... it's a straight-up cyberweapon platform that's been driven by Chinese and Russian bot farms.

    Answer:
    The motivation is to convince you that the lie is factually true.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The motivation is to convince you that the lie is factually true.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The motivation is to convince you that the lie is factually true.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    To highlight moral betrayal.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The motivation is to convince you that the lie is factually true.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    The motivation is to convince you that the lie is factually true.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    This was the equivalent of an oath signed by the Russian Federation which the Federation failed to affirm.

    Answer: Acceptable
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:
    Oh, the public presentation of the lie was socially acceptable. Everybody in the affluent West loves to hear that somebody wants peace. Then when that same someone turns around and starts the killing, the affluent West complains that they went against their word. But "your word" means nothing to the vast majority of the world.

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Acceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    The Russian arguments were not accepted by most of international community.

    Answer: Unacceptable
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    This is true, but manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Russia was clearly manipulating Ukraine, the USA, and Britain.

    Answer:
    Russia--and other entities like the IRGC, Al Jazeera, and the PRC that traffic in systemic disinformation--cannot be trusted. Full stop.
    Answer Confidence: 100 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    This is true, but manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    No label needed
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    This is true, but manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    This is true, but misleading.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    a broken commitment under the Budapest Memorandum

    Answer:
    No label needed
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:

    Answer:
    This is true, but manipulating.
    Answer Confidence: 90 %
    Supporting Text:
    Allot of manipulation from Russia can be seen from their current actions with invading Ukraine